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Short Trend Summary
The potential for increased tariffs under the new Trump administration introduces significant uncertainty and downside risks to global trade and economic growth.
Trump’s Tariff Uncertainty- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Global Trade
- Inflation
- International Relations
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
The potential for increased tariffs under the new Trump administration introduces significant uncertainty and downside risks to global trade and economic growth.
Mercer: Economic and market outlook...Trump’s Tariff Uncertainty
The potential for increased tariffs under the new Trump administration introduces significant uncertainty and downside risks to global trade and economic growth.
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Short Trend Summary
Public investment can significantly boost economic growth in EMDEs, especially when coupled with fiscal space and efficient government spending.
Public Investment Benefits- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Emerging Markets and Developing Economies
- Private Investment
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
Public investment can significantly boost economic growth in EMDEs, especially when coupled with fiscal space and efficient government spending.
WBG: Global economic prospectPublic Investment Benefits
Public investment can significantly boost economic growth in EMDEs, especially when coupled with fiscal space and efficient government spending. 
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Short Trend Summary
A shift in focus from monetary to fiscal tightening, alongside structural reforms, is crucial for sustainable growth.
Policy Triple Pivot Needed- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Fiscal policy
- Monetary Policy
- Structural reforms
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
A shift in focus from monetary to fiscal tightening, alongside structural reforms, is crucial for sustainable growth.
IMF: World economic outlookPolicy Triple Pivot Needed
A shift in focus from monetary to fiscal tightening, alongside structural reforms, is crucial for sustainable growth. 
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Short Trend Summary
Central banks are navigating a complex environment, balancing inflation concerns with the impact of fiscal policy and geopolitical risks.
Monetary Policy Uncertainty- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Currency markets
- Economic Growth
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
Central banks are navigating a complex environment, balancing inflation concerns with the impact of fiscal policy and geopolitical risks.
NatWest: The year ahead 2025Monetary Policy Uncertainty
Central banks are navigating a complex environment, balancing inflation concerns with the impact of fiscal policy and geopolitical risks. 
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Short Trend Summary
The pace of technological innovation is accelerating, driven by converging technologies like AI, Big Data, and decreasing computing costs.
Innovation Super Cycle- AI-Driven Transformation
- The Blurring of Physical and Digital Realities
- Artificial Intelligence
- Big Data
- Computing
- Economic Growth
- Energy Transition
- Productivity
- Business & Commerce
- Emerging Technology
- Global Challenges
The pace of technological innovation is accelerating, driven by converging technologies like AI, Big Data, and decreasing computing costs.
Julius Bar: Secular outlook 2025Innovation Super Cycle
The pace of technological innovation is accelerating, driven by converging technologies like AI, Big Data, and decreasing computing costs. 
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Short Trend Summary
The trend of onshoring manufacturing is gaining momentum, driven by political support and a focus on boosting domestic production.
Homeshoring and Manufacturing Growth- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Investment
- Small and Mid-cap Companies
- US Manufacturing
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
The trend of onshoring manufacturing is gaining momentum, driven by political support and a focus on boosting domestic production.
Fidelity: Outlook 2025Homeshoring and Manufacturing Growth
The trend of onshoring manufacturing is gaining momentum, driven by political support and a focus on boosting domestic production. 
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Short Trend Summary
Higher growth and cycle-neutral cash rates are projected, supporting fixed income returns despite higher starting valuations.
Higher Rates, Healthy Returns- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Cost of capital
- Economic Growth
- Fixed income returns
- Interest rates
- Investment levels
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
Higher growth and cycle-neutral cash rates are projected, supporting fixed income returns despite higher starting valuations.
J.P. Morgan: Ltcma reportHigher Rates, Healthy Returns
Higher growth and cycle-neutral cash rates are projected, supporting fixed income returns despite higher starting valuations. 
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Short Trend Summary
Rising geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and China, are leading to a more fragmented global economy, with implications for trade, investment, and economic growth.
Geopolitical Fragmentation and Distrust- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Global Trade
- International Relations
- Investment flows
- Technological Development
- Business & Commerce
- Global Challenges
- Government & Politics
Rising geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and China, are leading to a more fragmented global economy, with implications for trade, investment, and economic growth.
Robeco: 5 year expected returns...Geopolitical Fragmentation and Distrust
Rising geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and China, are leading to a more fragmented global economy, with implications for trade, investment, and economic growth. 
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Short Trend Summary
Geopolitical tensions are driving trade fragmentation, potentially impacting supply chains and long-term growth.
Geoeconomic Fragmentation Rising- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Global Trade
- Green transition
- Supply Chains
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Global Challenges
Geopolitical tensions are driving trade fragmentation, potentially impacting supply chains and long-term growth.
IMF: World economic outlookGeoeconomic Fragmentation Rising
Geopolitical tensions are driving trade fragmentation, potentially impacting supply chains and long-term growth. 
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Short Trend Summary
Government spending and borrowing are increasingly driving market dynamics, overshadowing monetary policy.
Fiscal Policy Dominance- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Government Debt
- Interest rates
- Private sector investment
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
Government spending and borrowing are increasingly driving market dynamics, overshadowing monetary policy.
NatWest: The year ahead 2025Fiscal Policy Dominance
Government spending and borrowing are increasingly driving market dynamics, overshadowing monetary policy. 
