emerging

Innovation Super Cycle

The pace of technological innovation is accelerating, driven by converging technologies like AI, Big Data, and decreasing computing costs.

Detailed Analysis

This convergence is creating disruptive forces across multiple industries. Generative AI, in particular, is being adopted rapidly, with vast potential applications. While the long-term impact of AI is uncertain, it is driving significant investment in computing capacity. The energy transition, driven by falling renewable energy costs, is another key component of this super cycle.

Context Signals

Rapid adoption of ChatGPT Falling costs of solar and wind energy Increased investment in AI computing solutions

Edge

AI could lead to significant productivity gains and reshape various industries. The energy transition may provide disinflationary impulses sooner than expected. Investing in the innovation super cycle requires careful selection and diversification, as not all companies will succeed.
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TRENDS
The combination of exponential growth in computing power at decreasing costs and the growing abundance of data provides a fertile ground for disruptive change, including through increasingly powerful generative AI systems.