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Short Trend Summary
Higher growth and cycle-neutral cash rates are projected, supporting fixed income returns despite higher starting valuations.
Higher Rates, Healthy Returns- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Cost of capital
- Economic Growth
- Fixed income returns
- Interest rates
- Investment levels
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
Higher growth and cycle-neutral cash rates are projected, supporting fixed income returns despite higher starting valuations.
J.P. Morgan: Ltcma reportHigher Rates, Healthy Returns
Higher growth and cycle-neutral cash rates are projected, supporting fixed income returns despite higher starting valuations.
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Short Trend Summary
Most central banks are expected to continue cutting interest rates in response to slowing growth and moderating inflation, with the exception of Japan.
Continued Monetary Easing- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Global economy
- Interest rates
- Investment Markets
- Monetary Policy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
Most central banks are expected to continue cutting interest rates in response to slowing growth and moderating inflation, with the exception of Japan.
Goldman Sachs: Macro outlook 2025Continued Monetary Easing
Most central banks are expected to continue cutting interest rates in response to slowing growth and moderating inflation, with the exception of Japan. 
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Short Trend Summary
Broadening AI adoption is expected to significantly boost productivity growth in the coming years, driving economic expansion and potentially impacting inflation and interest rates.
AI-Driven Productivity Growth- AI-Driven Transformation
- Economic Growth
- Energy Demand
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Labor markets
- Productivity
- Business & Commerce
- Emerging Technology
- Finance & Money
Broadening AI adoption is expected to significantly boost productivity growth in the coming years, driving economic expansion and potentially impacting inflation and interest rates.
Robeco: 5 year expected returns...AI-Driven Productivity Growth
Broadening AI adoption is expected to significantly boost productivity growth in the coming years, driving economic expansion and potentially impacting inflation and interest rates. 
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Short Trend Summary
The global savings glut, a key driver of economic and financial dynamics in recent decades, is expected to decline or disappear in the next five years, potentially impacting interest rates, currency valuations, and investment opportunities.
Diminishing Global Savings Glut- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Currency Valuations
- Global Capital Flows
- Interest rates
- Investment Opportunities
- US Dollar
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Global Challenges
The global savings glut, a key driver of economic and financial dynamics in recent decades, is expected to decline or disappear in the next five years, potentially impacting interest rates, currency valuations, and investment opportunities.
Robeco: 5 year expected returns...Diminishing Global Savings Glut
The global savings glut, a key driver of economic and financial dynamics in recent decades, is expected to decline or disappear in the next five… 
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Short Trend Summary
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to fiscal dominance and creating medium-term inflation risks.
Shift to Fiscal Dominance- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Fiscal policy
- Government Debt
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Monetary Policy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to fiscal dominance and creating medium-term inflation risks.
Robeco: 5 year expected returns...Shift to Fiscal Dominance
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to… 
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Short Trend Summary
As inflation moderates and labor market pressures ease, policy interest rate reductions are expected to continue, although the timing and pace will be data-dependent and carefully managed.
Monetary Policy Easing- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Financial Markets
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Monetary Policy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
As inflation moderates and labor market pressures ease, policy interest rate reductions are expected to continue, although the timing and pace will be data-dependent and carefully managed.
OECD: Outlook report turning the...Monetary Policy Easing
As inflation moderates and labor market pressures ease, policy interest rate reductions are expected to continue, although the timing and pace will be data-dependent and… 
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Short Trend Summary
Central banks are navigating a complex environment, balancing inflation concerns with the impact of fiscal policy and geopolitical risks.
Monetary Policy Uncertainty- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Currency markets
- Economic Growth
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
Central banks are navigating a complex environment, balancing inflation concerns with the impact of fiscal policy and geopolitical risks.
NatWest: The year ahead 2025Monetary Policy Uncertainty
Central banks are navigating a complex environment, balancing inflation concerns with the impact of fiscal policy and geopolitical risks. 
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Short Trend Summary
Government spending and borrowing are increasingly driving market dynamics, overshadowing monetary policy.
Fiscal Policy Dominance- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Government Debt
- Interest rates
- Private sector investment
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
Government spending and borrowing are increasingly driving market dynamics, overshadowing monetary policy.
NatWest: The year ahead 2025Fiscal Policy Dominance
Government spending and borrowing are increasingly driving market dynamics, overshadowing monetary policy. 
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Short Trend Summary
Increased fiscal expansion in several countries, including the US, Japan, the UK, and some emerging markets, raises the risk of higher terminal rates and increased inflation.
Rising Fiscal Risks- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Bond markets
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Global Challenges
Increased fiscal expansion in several countries, including the US, Japan, the UK, and some emerging markets, raises the risk of higher terminal rates and increased inflation.
Goldman Sachs: Markets outlook 2025...Rising Fiscal Risks
Increased fiscal expansion in several countries, including the US, Japan, the UK, and some emerging markets, raises the risk of higher terminal rates and increased… 