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Short Trend Summary
The re-election of Donald Trump and a Republican Congress introduces significant policy uncertainty, particularly regarding tax cuts, tariffs, immigration, and deregulation.
Economic Policy Uncertainty- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economy
- Immigration
- Inflation
- Regulation
- Trade
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
The re-election of Donald Trump and a Republican Congress introduces significant policy uncertainty, particularly regarding tax cuts, tariffs, immigration, and deregulation.
J.P. Morgan: 2025 year ahead...Economic Policy Uncertainty
The re-election of Donald Trump and a Republican Congress introduces significant policy uncertainty, particularly regarding tax cuts, tariffs, immigration, and deregulation.
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Short Trend Summary
Governments are shifting from austerity to fiscal activism, prioritizing investment in infrastructure, technology, and national security.
Fiscal Activism Replaces Austerity- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Government spending
- Inflation
- Infrastructure development
- Technology Investment
- Finance & Money
- Global Challenges
- Government & Politics
Governments are shifting from austerity to fiscal activism, prioritizing investment in infrastructure, technology, and national security.
J.P. Morgan: Ltcma reportFiscal Activism Replaces Austerity
Governments are shifting from austerity to fiscal activism, prioritizing investment in infrastructure, technology, and national security. 
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Short Trend Summary
Artificial intelligence is projected to significantly impact economic growth, both through direct investment and productivity gains.
AI Drives Productivity and Growth- AI-Driven Transformation
- Corporate Earnings
- Economic Growth
- Inflation
- Productivity
- Technology Investment
- Business & Commerce
- Emerging Technology
- Finance & Money
Artificial intelligence is projected to significantly impact economic growth, both through direct investment and productivity gains.
J.P. Morgan: Ltcma reportAI Drives Productivity and Growth
Artificial intelligence is projected to significantly impact economic growth, both through direct investment and productivity gains. 
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Short Trend Summary
US core PCE inflation is expected to slow, remaining relatively benign despite the potential inflationary pressures from tariffs.
Benign US Inflation- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Consumer Spending
- Inflation
- Monetary Policy
- US economy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
US core PCE inflation is expected to slow, remaining relatively benign despite the potential inflationary pressures from tariffs.
Goldman Sachs: Macro outlook 2025Benign US Inflation
US core PCE inflation is expected to slow, remaining relatively benign despite the potential inflationary pressures from tariffs. 
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Short Trend Summary
Broadening AI adoption is expected to significantly boost productivity growth in the coming years, driving economic expansion and potentially impacting inflation and interest rates.
AI-Driven Productivity Growth- AI-Driven Transformation
- Economic Growth
- Energy Demand
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Labor markets
- Productivity
- Business & Commerce
- Emerging Technology
- Finance & Money
Broadening AI adoption is expected to significantly boost productivity growth in the coming years, driving economic expansion and potentially impacting inflation and interest rates.
Robeco: 5 year expected returns...AI-Driven Productivity Growth
Broadening AI adoption is expected to significantly boost productivity growth in the coming years, driving economic expansion and potentially impacting inflation and interest rates. 
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Short Trend Summary
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to fiscal dominance and creating medium-term inflation risks.
Shift to Fiscal Dominance- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Fiscal policy
- Government Debt
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Monetary Policy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to fiscal dominance and creating medium-term inflation risks.
Robeco: 5 year expected returns...Shift to Fiscal Dominance
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to… 
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Short Trend Summary
As inflation moderates and labor market pressures ease, policy interest rate reductions are expected to continue, although the timing and pace will be data-dependent and carefully managed.
Monetary Policy Easing- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Financial Markets
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Monetary Policy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
As inflation moderates and labor market pressures ease, policy interest rate reductions are expected to continue, although the timing and pace will be data-dependent and carefully managed.
OECD: Outlook report turning the...Monetary Policy Easing
As inflation moderates and labor market pressures ease, policy interest rate reductions are expected to continue, although the timing and pace will be data-dependent and… 
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Short Trend Summary
Global trade is facing increasing headwinds from protectionist measures, impacting supply chains and potentially exacerbating inflation.
Resurgent Protectionism- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Global Trade
- Inflation
- International Relations
- Supply Chains
- Business & Commerce
- Global Challenges
- Government & Politics
Global trade is facing increasing headwinds from protectionist measures, impacting supply chains and potentially exacerbating inflation.
NatWest: The year ahead 2025Resurgent Protectionism
Global trade is facing increasing headwinds from protectionist measures, impacting supply chains and potentially exacerbating inflation. 
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Short Trend Summary
The return of Donald Trump to the US presidency signals a renewed focus on economic nationalism, with potential implications for global trade, fiscal policy, and monetary policy.
Trump’s Economic Nationalism- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Global Trade
- Inflation
- International Relations
- US economy
- US monetary policy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
The return of Donald Trump to the US presidency signals a renewed focus on economic nationalism, with potential implications for global trade, fiscal policy, and monetary policy.
NatWest: The year ahead 2025Trump’s Economic Nationalism
The return of Donald Trump to the US presidency signals a renewed focus on economic nationalism, with potential implications for global trade, fiscal policy, and… 
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Short Trend Summary
Central banks are navigating a complex environment, balancing inflation concerns with the impact of fiscal policy and geopolitical risks.
Monetary Policy Uncertainty- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Currency markets
- Economic Growth
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
Central banks are navigating a complex environment, balancing inflation concerns with the impact of fiscal policy and geopolitical risks.
NatWest: The year ahead 2025Monetary Policy Uncertainty
Central banks are navigating a complex environment, balancing inflation concerns with the impact of fiscal policy and geopolitical risks. 
