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- TrendThemeImpact AreasCategorySummaryReport
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Short Trend Summary
Governments are investing in domestic AI infrastructure and models (Sovereign AI) driven by national interests and data security concerns, creating new opportunities and challenges.
Rise of Sovereign AI- AI-Driven Transformation
- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- AI development
- Data Centers
- Geopolitics
- Cybersecurity
- Emerging Technology
- Government & Politics
Governments are investing in domestic AI infrastructure and models (Sovereign AI) driven by national interests and data security concerns, creating new opportunities and challenges.
Bain: Technology reportRise of Sovereign AI
Governments are investing in domestic AI infrastructure and models (Sovereign AI) driven by national interests and data security concerns, creating new opportunities and challenges.
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Short Trend Summary
Geopolitical factors are increasingly influencing trade and investment decisions, leading to the potential formation of rival economic blocs and a reversal of globalization.
Rising Geoeconomic Fragmentation- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Global Trade
- International Relations
- Investment flows
- Business & Commerce
- Global Challenges
- Government & Politics
Geopolitical factors are increasingly influencing trade and investment decisions, leading to the potential formation of rival economic blocs and a reversal of globalization.
IMF: Annual report 2024Rising Geoeconomic Fragmentation
Geopolitical factors are increasingly influencing trade and investment decisions, leading to the potential formation of rival economic blocs and a reversal of globalization. 
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Short Trend Summary
Geopolitical tensions and economic frictions are escalating, leading to increased diversification and a more fragmented world.
Rising Geopolitical Fragmentation- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Global Trade
- International Relations
- Investment strategies
- Business & Commerce
- Global Challenges
- Government & Politics
Geopolitical tensions and economic frictions are escalating, leading to increased diversification and a more fragmented world.
Amundi: Investment outlook 2025Rising Geopolitical Fragmentation
Geopolitical tensions and economic frictions are escalating, leading to increased diversification and a more fragmented world. 
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Short Trend Summary
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to fiscal dominance and creating medium-term inflation risks.
Shift to Fiscal Dominance- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Fiscal policy
- Government Debt
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Monetary Policy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to fiscal dominance and creating medium-term inflation risks.
Robeco: 5 year expected returns...Shift to Fiscal Dominance
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to… 
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Short Trend Summary
AI is dismantling established geopolitical and cultural hierarchies, empowering non-Western nations and challenging Western dominance.
Shifting Geopolitical Power- AI-Driven Transformation
- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- The Power of Community and Connection
- Cultural Influence
- Geopolitics
- Global Media
- Culture
- Emerging Technology
- Government & Politics
AI is dismantling established geopolitical and cultural hierarchies, empowering non-Western nations and challenging Western dominance.
OMG Futures: The future of...Shifting Geopolitical Power
AI is dismantling established geopolitical and cultural hierarchies, empowering non-Western nations and challenging Western dominance. 
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Short Trend Summary
Small states face chronic fiscal difficulties, exacerbated by climate change and debt distress, requiring comprehensive reforms and international support.
Small States Fiscal Distress- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Climate Change
- Fiscal sustainability
- Small States
- Finance & Money
- Global Challenges
- Government & Politics
Small states face chronic fiscal difficulties, exacerbated by climate change and debt distress, requiring comprehensive reforms and international support.
WBG: Global economic prospectSmall States Fiscal Distress
Small states face chronic fiscal difficulties, exacerbated by climate change and debt distress, requiring comprehensive reforms and international support. 
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Short Trend Summary
Public resistance to structural reforms, often rooted in behavioral factors, poses a significant challenge.
Social Resistance to Reform- Authenticity and Transparency Reign Supreme
- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- The Power of Community and Connection
- Policy implementation
- Public trust
- Social unrest
- Structural reforms
- Consumer Attitudes
- Government & Politics
- Media & Information
Public resistance to structural reforms, often rooted in behavioral factors, poses a significant challenge.
IMF: World economic outlookSocial Resistance to Reform
Public resistance to structural reforms, often rooted in behavioral factors, poses a significant challenge. 
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Short Trend Summary
Rising inequality and differing values are fracturing societies, leading to new political allegiances and a demand for greater corporate social responsibility.
Splintering Societies- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- The Power of Community and Connection
- Values-Driven Consumption
- Corporate Social Responsibility
- Political landscape
- Social Cohesion
- Business & Commerce
- Culture
- Government & Politics
Rising inequality and differing values are fracturing societies, leading to new political allegiances and a demand for greater corporate social responsibility.
Ipsos: Global trends 10th anniversary...Splintering Societies
Rising inequality and differing values are fracturing societies, leading to new political allegiances and a demand for greater corporate social responsibility. 
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Short Trend Summary
Declining trust in government and limited progress in public sector integrity pose risks to social cohesion and effective governance.
Strained Social Capital- Authenticity and Transparency Reign Supreme
- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- The Power of Community and Connection
- governance
- Public trust
- Social Cohesion
- Culture
- Government & Politics
Declining trust in government and limited progress in public sector integrity pose risks to social cohesion and effective governance.
OECD: How's Life 2024Strained Social Capital
Declining trust in government and limited progress in public sector integrity pose risks to social cohesion and effective governance. 
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Short Trend Summary
The IMF is strengthening its governance and representation, including through quota increases and the addition of a 25th chair on the Executive Board.
Strengthened IMF Governance- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Global financial stability
- IMF governance
- Representation of emerging markets
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
The IMF is strengthening its governance and representation, including through quota increases and the addition of a 25th chair on the Executive Board.
IMF: Annual report 2024Strengthened IMF Governance
The IMF is strengthening its governance and representation, including through quota increases and the addition of a 25th chair on the Executive Board. 
