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- TrendThemeImpact AreasCategorySummaryReport
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Short Trend Summary
The potential for increased tariffs under the new Trump administration introduces significant uncertainty and downside risks to global trade and economic growth.
Trump’s Tariff Uncertainty- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Global Trade
- Inflation
- International Relations
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
The potential for increased tariffs under the new Trump administration introduces significant uncertainty and downside risks to global trade and economic growth.
Mercer: Economic and market outlook...Trump’s Tariff Uncertainty
The potential for increased tariffs under the new Trump administration introduces significant uncertainty and downside risks to global trade and economic growth.
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Short Trend Summary
Assets outside the traditional financial system, like gold and Bitcoin, are gaining traction due to geopolitical tensions and weakening government balance sheets.
Out-of-System Assets- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Alternative Assets
- Financial System
- Geopolitical Risk
- Investment strategies
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
Assets outside the traditional financial system, like gold and Bitcoin, are gaining traction due to geopolitical tensions and weakening government balance sheets.
Julius Bar: Secular outlook 2025Out-of-System Assets
Assets outside the traditional financial system, like gold and Bitcoin, are gaining traction due to geopolitical tensions and weakening government balance sheets. 
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Short Trend Summary
Rising geopolitical tensions and nationalistic sentiments are creating a more hostile and fragmented global landscape.
Hostile World Order- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Domestic Politics
- Global Trade
- Immigration
- International Relations
- Business & Commerce
- Global Challenges
- Government & Politics
Rising geopolitical tensions and nationalistic sentiments are creating a more hostile and fragmented global landscape.
Juan Isaza: Tendencias 2025Hostile World Order
Rising geopolitical tensions and nationalistic sentiments are creating a more hostile and fragmented global landscape. 
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Short Trend Summary
Geopolitical rivalries are intensifying, leading to a multipolar world order and strategic reshoring of critical supplies.
Multipolarity and Reshoring- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Geopolitics
- Global Trade
- Investment strategies
- Supply Chains
- Business & Commerce
- Global Challenges
- Government & Politics
Geopolitical rivalries are intensifying, leading to a multipolar world order and strategic reshoring of critical supplies.
Julius Bar: Secular outlook 2025Multipolarity and Reshoring
Geopolitical rivalries are intensifying, leading to a multipolar world order and strategic reshoring of critical supplies. 
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Short Trend Summary
Governments are increasingly using fiscal policy to manage economic cycles and address structural issues.
Active Fiscal Policies- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Industrial Policy
- International Competition
- Public Finances
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
Governments are increasingly using fiscal policy to manage economic cycles and address structural issues.
Julius Bar: Secular outlook 2025Active Fiscal Policies
Governments are increasingly using fiscal policy to manage economic cycles and address structural issues. 
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Short Trend Summary
The incoming Trump administration is expected to introduce significant policy changes, particularly in trade and immigration, creating uncertainty in the market.
US Policy Uncertainty- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Global Trade
- Immigration flows
- US economy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
The incoming Trump administration is expected to introduce significant policy changes, particularly in trade and immigration, creating uncertainty in the market.
Invesco: 2025 Investment OutlookUS Policy Uncertainty
The incoming Trump administration is expected to introduce significant policy changes, particularly in trade and immigration, creating uncertainty in the market. 
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Short Trend Summary
Geopolitical uncertainty remains a significant risk factor, influencing business decisions and requiring organizations to adapt to changing global dynamics.
Geopolitical Uncertainty Impacts- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Global Trade
- Investment decisions
- Supply Chains
- Business & Commerce
- Government & Politics
Geopolitical uncertainty remains a significant risk factor, influencing business decisions and requiring organizations to adapt to changing global dynamics.
Internal Audit Foundation: Global summary...Geopolitical Uncertainty Impacts
Geopolitical uncertainty remains a significant risk factor, influencing business decisions and requiring organizations to adapt to changing global dynamics. 
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Short Trend Summary
The medium-term global growth outlook is weak, projected at 3.1% in 2029, one of the lowest five-year-ahead forecasts in decades.
Weak Medium-Term Growth- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Developing economies
- Employment
- Investment
- Public services
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Global Challenges
The medium-term global growth outlook is weak, projected at 3.1% in 2029, one of the lowest five-year-ahead forecasts in decades.
IMF: Annual report 2024Weak Medium-Term Growth
The medium-term global growth outlook is weak, projected at 3.1% in 2029, one of the lowest five-year-ahead forecasts in decades. 
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Short Trend Summary
Geopolitical factors are increasingly influencing trade and investment decisions, leading to the potential formation of rival economic blocs and a reversal of globalization.
Rising Geoeconomic Fragmentation- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Global Trade
- International Relations
- Investment flows
- Business & Commerce
- Global Challenges
- Government & Politics
Geopolitical factors are increasingly influencing trade and investment decisions, leading to the potential formation of rival economic blocs and a reversal of globalization.
IMF: Annual report 2024Rising Geoeconomic Fragmentation
Geopolitical factors are increasingly influencing trade and investment decisions, leading to the potential formation of rival economic blocs and a reversal of globalization. 
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Short Trend Summary
The potential for increased tariffs, particularly on China and potentially other countries, poses a significant risk to global trade and economic growth.
Tariff and Trade Uncertainty- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Equity Markets
- FX markets
- Global Trade
- Inflation
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
The potential for increased tariffs, particularly on China and potentially other countries, poses a significant risk to global trade and economic growth.
Goldman Sachs: Markets outlook 2025...Tariff and Trade Uncertainty
The potential for increased tariffs, particularly on China and potentially other countries, poses a significant risk to global trade and economic growth. 
