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Nasdaq+ Leadership

The innovation super cycle is expected to further strengthen the leadership of technology-driven companies, particularly those listed on the Nasdaq and similar exchanges.

Detailed Analysis

Historically, US companies have led major technological advancements, and this trend is expected to continue. The Nasdaq, as a hub for technology and growth-oriented companies, is well-positioned to benefit. However, finding new leaders beyond established tech giants may be challenging, given the current valuations and the limitations in other markets like China and Europe.

Context Signals

Historical performance of the Nasdaq during periods of technological innovation US innovation ecosystem Challenges faced by companies in other markets like China and Europe

Edge

Identifying and investing in emerging technology leaders beyond the established giants could offer significant returns. The increasing importance of AI and other disruptive technologies may create new investment opportunities in niche sectors. Competition between US and non-US technology companies could intensify, leading to further innovation and market disruption.
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TRENDS
In this context, we believe it is too early to underweight the major US technology stocks, especially given their profitability and the strength of their franchises. We therefore expect the continued leadership of the Nasdaq+ companies to be the most likely scenario, while acknowledging that their contribution to the outperformance of the US market is likely to be more challenging in the future.