current
Deglobalization Continues
The trend of deglobalization, driven by various factors including geopolitical tensions and technological changes, is expected to persist, creating both risks and opportunities.
Timeframe
long-term
Categories
Subcategories
Impact areas
Detailed Analysis
The report identifies deglobalization as a significant force shaping the investment landscape. This trend, characterized by a shift away from global interconnectedness and towards regionalization, is driven by factors such as the pandemic, rising nationalism, geopolitical tensions, and technological changes. The report states, "In recent years, the world has become less global, influenced by the pandemic, rising nationalism, geopolitical tensions, and technological changes." This ongoing shift has profound implications for global trade, supply chains, and investment strategies. The analysis highlights the potential risks associated with deglobalization, including higher costs for consumers and businesses, slower global growth, and increased inflation. However, the report also recognizes the opportunities that arise from this trend, particularly for companies involved in reshoring, automation, and national security. The report notes, "Despite these challenges, deglobalization offers growth opportunities in certain sectors." This balanced perspective emphasizes the importance of adapting to the changing global landscape and identifying the sectors that are most likely to benefit from the shift towards regionalization.
Context Signals
Active conflicts in regions such as Eastern Europe and the Middle East contribute to deglobalization.
Technological advancements enable more self-sufficient economic strategies.
Increased trade and capital flow restrictions could lead to higher costs and slower growth.
Edge
Regional economic blocs could gain prominence as countries prioritize closer trade relationships.
Companies with diversified supply chains will be better positioned to navigate disruptions.
Investment in automation and reshoring could create new job opportunities in developed economies.