current
Global Populist Surge
Populist movements are gaining traction worldwide, driven by economic pressures, social changes, and a distrust of established elites.
Timeframe
long-term
Categories
Subcategories
Impact areas
Detailed Analysis
2024 witnessed a global wave of populist victories in elections, reflecting widespread public dissatisfaction with incumbent governments. "It is now clear that around the world establishment governments crumbled; the public expressed tremendous dissatisfaction with those in power." Economic pressures, such as inflation and the legacy of the Great Recession, have fueled anti-establishment sentiment. "To start with, economic pressures have been pushing the world toward populism. Take for example, the inflation the world experienced coming out of the pandemic." This populist surge is characterized by a distrust of elites and a belief that "the system is broken." This trend transcends political ideologies, with both right-wing and left-wing populist candidates gaining ground. The conflict between "what was" and "what will be" is a central tension in contemporary politics.
Context Signals
Over 60 national elections held in 2024, involving half of the world's population.
Populist victories across the political spectrum, including Donald Trump in the US, Sheinbaum in Mexico, and Subianto in Indonesia.
Systemic distrust of established elites and a belief that the system is broken are driving populist movements.
Edge
Increased political uncertainty and conflict are likely to persist in the coming years.
The tension between traditional values and social change will continue to shape political discourse.
Understanding the underlying drivers of populism is crucial for navigating this complex political landscape.