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Trends Subcategories Economic Policy

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  • Trend
    Theme
    Impact Areas
    Category
    Summary
    Report
  • China’s Growth Uncertainty
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    • Chinese economy
    • Commodity markets
    • Global economy
    • Trade
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Government & Politics

    China's growth outlook is uncertain, with ongoing challenges in the property sector and weak consumer confidence, requiring effective stimulus measures.

    Mercer: Economic and market outlook...
    China’s Growth Uncertainty
    China's growth outlook is uncertain, with ongoing challenges in the property sector and weak consumer confidence, requiring effective stimulus measures.
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Government & Politics
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Impact Areas Chinese economy, Commodity markets, Global economy, Trade
    Themes Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Categories Business & Commerce, Finance & Money, Government & Politics
  • CMDI Revisions Impacting Banks
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    • Banking
    • Financial Markets
    • Insurance
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Government & Politics

    Upcoming revisions to the Crisis Management and Deposit Insurance (CMDI) framework are poised to reshape the bank liability hierarchy, impacting preferred senior unsecured bonds and potentially leading to wider spreads.

    ING: Bank outlook 2025
    CMDI Revisions Impacting Banks
    Upcoming revisions to the Crisis Management and Deposit Insurance (CMDI) framework are poised to reshape the bank liability hierarchy, impacting preferred senior unsecured bonds and…
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Government & Politics
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Impact Areas Banking, Financial Markets, Insurance
    Themes Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Categories Business & Commerce, Finance & Money, Government & Politics
  • Continued Monetary Easing
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    • Global economy
    • Interest rates
    • Investment Markets
    • Monetary Policy
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money

    Most central banks are expected to continue cutting interest rates in response to slowing growth and moderating inflation, with the exception of Japan.

    Goldman Sachs: Macro outlook 2025
    Continued Monetary Easing
    Most central banks are expected to continue cutting interest rates in response to slowing growth and moderating inflation, with the exception of Japan.
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Impact Areas Global economy, Interest rates, Investment Markets, Monetary Policy
    Themes Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Categories Business & Commerce, Finance & Money
  • Declining Global Inflation
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    • Economic Growth
    • Financial Markets
    • Monetary Policy
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money

    Global inflation is steadily decreasing, with advanced economies projected to reach their targets sooner than emerging markets and developing economies.

    IMF: Annual report 2024
    Declining Global Inflation
    Global inflation is steadily decreasing, with advanced economies projected to reach their targets sooner than emerging markets and developing economies.
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Impact Areas Economic Growth, Financial Markets, Monetary Policy
    Themes Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Categories Business & Commerce, Finance & Money
  • Deglobalization Continues
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    • Global Trade
    • Manufacturing
    • National Security
    • Supply Chains
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Global Challenges

    The trend of deglobalization, driven by various factors including geopolitical tensions and technological changes, is expected to persist, creating both risks and opportunities.

    UBS: Year ahead 2025
    Deglobalization Continues
    The trend of deglobalization, driven by various factors including geopolitical tensions and technological changes, is expected to persist, creating both risks and opportunities.
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Global Challenges
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Impact Areas Global Trade, Manufacturing, National Security, Supply Chains
    Themes Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Categories Business & Commerce, Finance & Money, Global Challenges
  • Diminishing Global Savings Glut
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    • Currency Valuations
    • Global Capital Flows
    • Interest rates
    • Investment Opportunities
    • US Dollar
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Global Challenges

    The global savings glut, a key driver of economic and financial dynamics in recent decades, is expected to decline or disappear in the next five years, potentially impacting interest rates, currency valuations, and investment opportunities.

    Robeco: 5 year expected returns...
    Diminishing Global Savings Glut
    The global savings glut, a key driver of economic and financial dynamics in recent decades, is expected to decline or disappear in the next five…
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Global Challenges
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Impact Areas Currency Valuations, Global Capital Flows, Interest rates, Investment Opportunities, US Dollar
    Themes Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Categories Business & Commerce, Finance & Money, Global Challenges
  • Divergent Global Economic Paths
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    • Geopolitics
    • Global economy
    • International Trade
    • Monetary Policy
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Government & Politics

    Major economies like the US, China, and Europe are expected to follow divergent economic trajectories in 2025, creating both challenges and opportunities for investors.

    Fidelity: Outlook 2025
    Divergent Global Economic Paths
    Major economies like the US, China, and Europe are expected to follow divergent economic trajectories in 2025, creating both challenges and opportunities for investors.
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Government & Politics
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Impact Areas Geopolitics, Global economy, International Trade, Monetary Policy
    Themes Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Categories Business & Commerce, Finance & Money, Government & Politics
  • Easing Labor Market Pressures
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    • Immigration
    • Labor markets
    • Unemployment
    • Wage growth
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • The Workplace

    Labor markets are showing signs of easing, with declining job vacancies, moderating labor shortages, and rising labor supply in several countries.

    OECD: Outlook report turning the...
    Easing Labor Market Pressures
    Labor markets are showing signs of easing, with declining job vacancies, moderating labor shortages, and rising labor supply in several countries.
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • The Workplace
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Impact Areas Immigration, Labor markets, Unemployment, Wage growth
    Themes Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Categories Business & Commerce, Finance & Money, The Workplace
  • ECB Rate Cuts Impacting Banks
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    • Banking
    • European Economy
    • Lending
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money

    The ECB's shift to rate cuts is expected to negatively affect bank net interest margins, prompting a focus on fee-based income, mergers and acquisitions, and potentially impacting loan quality.

    ING: Bank outlook 2025
    ECB Rate Cuts Impacting Banks
    The ECB's shift to rate cuts is expected to negatively affect bank net interest margins, prompting a focus on fee-based income, mergers and acquisitions, and…
    • Business & Commerce
    • Finance & Money
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Impact Areas Banking, European Economy, Lending
    Themes Navigating Global Uncertainty
    Categories Business & Commerce, Finance & Money
  • Economic Headwinds Drive Reinvention
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    • Values-Driven Consumption
    • Consumer goods
    • Manufacturing
    • Retail
    • Business & Commerce
    • Consumer Attitudes
    • Finance & Money

    Economic instability and income inequality are forcing retailers to adopt cost-cutting measures and innovative growth strategies, including private-label brands and loyalty programs.

    Publicis Sapient: Guide to Next...
    Economic Headwinds Drive Reinvention
    Economic instability and income inequality are forcing retailers to adopt cost-cutting measures and innovative growth strategies, including private-label brands and loyalty programs.
    • Business & Commerce
    • Consumer Attitudes
    • Finance & Money
    • Navigating Global Uncertainty
    • Values-Driven Consumption
    Impact Areas Consumer goods, Manufacturing, Retail
    Themes Navigating Global Uncertainty, Values-Driven Consumption
    Categories Business & Commerce, Consumer Attitudes, Finance & Money
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