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Short Trend Summary
President-elect Trump's proposed tariffs on Chinese and other imports introduce significant uncertainty and downside risks to global growth.
Trump’s Tariff Uncertainty- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Chinese economy
- Emerging Markets
- Global Trade
- US economy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
President-elect Trump's proposed tariffs on Chinese and other imports introduce significant uncertainty and downside risks to global growth.
Mercer: Economic and market outlook...Trump’s Tariff Uncertainty
President-elect Trump's proposed tariffs on Chinese and other imports introduce significant uncertainty and downside risks to global growth.
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Short Trend Summary
China faces deflationary risks similar to Japan in the late 1990s, requiring substantial stimulus to boost consumer confidence and stabilize the property sector.
China’s Deflationary Pressures- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Chinese economy
- Commodity markets
- Global economy
- Business & Commerce
- Consumer Attitudes
- Finance & Money
China faces deflationary risks similar to Japan in the late 1990s, requiring substantial stimulus to boost consumer confidence and stabilize the property sector.
Mercer: Economic and market outlook...China’s Deflationary Pressures
China faces deflationary risks similar to Japan in the late 1990s, requiring substantial stimulus to boost consumer confidence and stabilize the property sector. 
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Short Trend Summary
Central banks are navigating a complex transition from peak interest rates, aiming for neutral ground amidst balanced growth and inflation risks.
Global Interest Rate Descent- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Financial Markets
- Global economy
- Monetary Policy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
Central banks are navigating a complex transition from peak interest rates, aiming for neutral ground amidst balanced growth and inflation risks.
Mercer: Economic and market outlook...Global Interest Rate Descent
Central banks are navigating a complex transition from peak interest rates, aiming for neutral ground amidst balanced growth and inflation risks. 
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Short Trend Summary
The re-election of Donald Trump and a Republican Congress introduces significant policy uncertainty, particularly regarding tax cuts, tariffs, immigration, and deregulation.
Economic Policy Uncertainty- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economy
- Immigration
- Inflation
- Regulation
- Trade
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
The re-election of Donald Trump and a Republican Congress introduces significant policy uncertainty, particularly regarding tax cuts, tariffs, immigration, and deregulation.
J.P. Morgan: 2025 year ahead...Economic Policy Uncertainty
The re-election of Donald Trump and a Republican Congress introduces significant policy uncertainty, particularly regarding tax cuts, tariffs, immigration, and deregulation. 
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Short Trend Summary
The second Trump administration is expected to implement higher tariffs on China and autos, impacting global trade and economic growth.
Renewed US Protectionism- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Automotive industry
- Chinese economy
- EU Economy
- Global Trade
- US economy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
The second Trump administration is expected to implement higher tariffs on China and autos, impacting global trade and economic growth.
Goldman Sachs: Macro outlook 2025Renewed US Protectionism
The second Trump administration is expected to implement higher tariffs on China and autos, impacting global trade and economic growth. 
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Short Trend Summary
The return of Donald Trump as president introduces a protectionist policy agenda, including tariffs and immigration restrictions, with potentially inflationary consequences.
Trump’s Protectionist Policies- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Global supply chains
- US inflation
- US trade relations
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
The return of Donald Trump as president introduces a protectionist policy agenda, including tariffs and immigration restrictions, with potentially inflationary consequences.
Schroders: Multi Asset 2025 OutlookTrump’s Protectionist Policies
The return of Donald Trump as president introduces a protectionist policy agenda, including tariffs and immigration restrictions, with potentially inflationary consequences. 
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Short Trend Summary
Trump's proposed policies, while potentially growth-stimulating, are projected to significantly worsen the US fiscal deficit, posing a long-term risk to the economy.
US Fiscal Deterioration- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Investor confidence
- US government debt
- US interest rates
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
Trump's proposed policies, while potentially growth-stimulating, are projected to significantly worsen the US fiscal deficit, posing a long-term risk to the economy.
Schroders: Multi Asset 2025 OutlookUS Fiscal Deterioration
Trump's proposed policies, while potentially growth-stimulating, are projected to significantly worsen the US fiscal deficit, posing a long-term risk to the economy. 
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Short Trend Summary
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to fiscal dominance and creating medium-term inflation risks.
Shift to Fiscal Dominance- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Fiscal policy
- Government Debt
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Monetary Policy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to fiscal dominance and creating medium-term inflation risks.
Robeco: 5 year expected returns...Shift to Fiscal Dominance
With inflation seemingly under control, central banks may become more susceptible to political pressure to ease policy, potentially leading to a shift from monetary to… 
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Short Trend Summary
While interest rates are expected to decline, the pace and extent of cuts are uncertain, posing a risk to market stability and borrowing costs.
Interest Rate Descent Risk- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Banking
- Borrowing Costs
- Finance
- Global economy
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
While interest rates are expected to decline, the pace and extent of cuts are uncertain, posing a risk to market stability and borrowing costs.
S&P Global: Banks outlook 2025Interest Rate Descent Risk
While interest rates are expected to decline, the pace and extent of cuts are uncertain, posing a risk to market stability and borrowing costs. 
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Short Trend Summary
Government spending and borrowing are increasingly driving market dynamics, overshadowing monetary policy.
Fiscal Policy Dominance- Navigating Global Uncertainty
- Economic Growth
- Government Debt
- Interest rates
- Private sector investment
- Business & Commerce
- Finance & Money
- Government & Politics
Government spending and borrowing are increasingly driving market dynamics, overshadowing monetary policy.
NatWest: The year ahead 2025Fiscal Policy Dominance
Government spending and borrowing are increasingly driving market dynamics, overshadowing monetary policy. 
